India to dethrone Germany as the world's third-biggest economy
Picture Credit: Business Today

India to Dethrone Germany as The World's Third-Biggest Economy by 2028

Published on March 19, 2025
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2 Min read time

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India is on a remarkable journey! Experts are predicting that by 2028, it is possible for India to dethrone Germany as the world’s third-biggest economy and claim the title. This exciting projection comes from a recent Morgan Stanley report, which highlights India’s rapid growth, strong policies, and improving infrastructure. But how is this happening? Let’s dive in!

India to dethrone Germany as the world's third-biggest economy
Picture Credit: Upstox

A Story of Growth

India’s economic rise is nothing short of extraordinary. Back in 1990, India was the 12th largest economy. By 2000, it slipped to 13th place, but then began its climb back up. In 2020, India secured the 9th position, and by 2023, it became the 5th largest economy. Now, experts predict that India to dethrone Germany as the world’s third-biggest economy is not just a dream but an achievable reality.

Numbers Speak Louder Than Words

India’s economy, valued at $3.5 trillion in 2023, is projected to grow to $4.7 trillion by 2026. By 2028, the economy is expected to expand to a whopping $5.7 trillion, surpassing Germany! India’s share in global GDP is also set to rise from 3.5% in 2023 to 4.5% by 2029.

Morgan Stanley has outlined three possible growth scenarios:

  • Bear Case: GDP reaches $6.6 trillion by 2035.
  • Base Case: GDP expands to $8.8 trillion by 2035.
  • Bull Case: India’s economy skyrockets to $10.3 trillion by 2035.

What’s Driving This Growth?

India’s economic rise isn’t magic—it’s backed by solid reasons. Here’s what’s fueling the country’s growth:

  • A Young and Growing Workforce – India has one of the youngest populations in the world. More young people mean more workers, more businesses, and more consumption.
  • Smart Government Policies – The Indian government has implemented strong fiscal and monetary policies, ensuring stability and boosting investor confidence.
  • Massive Infrastructure Development – Better roads, digital connectivity, and improved logistics are helping businesses grow and boosting productivity.
  • Manufacturing and Services Boom – Growth in these sectors, especially IT and financial services, is playing a key role in India’s economic expansion.
  • More Access to Credit – Banks and financial institutions are making it easier for businesses and individuals to get loans, leading to more investment and economic activity.

The Future Consumer Powerhouse

One of the biggest reasons India will dethrone Germany as the world’s third-biggest economy is its vast consumer market. As incomes rise, people are spending more on goods, services, and experiences. From smartphones to electric vehicles, India’s growing middle class is driving demand like never before.

What Lies Ahead?

Despite this positive outlook, some challenges remain. External factors like global trade policies, the U.S. dollar’s strength, and Federal Reserve interest rates could impact India’s growth. However, with strong policies and a resilient economy, India is well-positioned for success.

A Positive Future for India

As India moves towards becoming the world’s third-largest economy, the opportunities are endless. For students, this means more jobs, better infrastructure, and an exciting future in a rapidly growing country. If trends continue, India to dethrone Germany as the world’s third-biggest economy will be one of the most exciting success stories of the 21st century!

Authored by, Amay Mathur | Senior Editor

Amay Mathur is a business news reporter at Chegg.com. He previously worked for PCMag, Business Insider, The Messenger, and ZDNET as a reporter and copyeditor. His areas of coverage encompass tech, business, strategy, finance, and even space. He is a Columbia University graduate.

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